Finding Profitable Portfolios
I love to maximize time. I am more than willing to spend 8 hours one day to save 10 hours or more later. So that is what this is about
A coworker of mine has offered to pay a percentage of profits from my picks. Usually when I pick stocks, I go between looking at price movement/volume with some other exogenous factor. As the last set of picks went, I realized that sometimes my so-called "Long Term" trades yield more than the "Short Term". In order to extract which factors truly make wise trades, I have made the following list. Each one originated by a Stock Screen weighted in it's own category.
Sector:
LFL 75.25
FCN 33.09
TALX 35.95
CEN 34.25
NHP 34.26
PKY 56.53
TCO 62.63
SPAR 22.97
CTB 16.56
CG 72.93
AGU 38.77
MOS 25.23
Trendy:
SABA 7.62
TRIB 9.88
ICGE 11.77
EXFO 7.28
NXST 7.50
CRAY 13.61
IBAS 9.96
ISPH 7.83
CHR 7.58
MPP 10.70
MPWR 13.71
RAMR 16.03
SPIR 9.32
Oscillating:
QCOM 42.51
SIAL 41.62
ORLY 34.66
SGMS 34.14
LNDC 13.40
ACLS 7.64
HON 47.83
LDG 46.52
CPF 39.96
NWL 31.51
LUK 28.50
HBI 26.78
CHR 7.58
Volume:
BOBE 36.64
TLEO 15.13
DMRC 12.20
SHG 122.01
BAM 54.40
TIN 53.16
GR 50.85
ADP 50.96
AET 45.61
NWL 31.51
TRW 29.26
JNS 22.30
BKC 22.61
After a couple of weeks or months, we will gauge the median returns. If the returns are substantial enough, I might even send out a newsletter. At first, it would be free. -It does take a bit of time to distill and filter these down. Let's call them Adam's Lucky 13 (on Sector, Trendy, Oscillating, Volume).
And as always, if you make some money off of these picks... please contribute to the HookShow Podcast.
A coworker of mine has offered to pay a percentage of profits from my picks. Usually when I pick stocks, I go between looking at price movement/volume with some other exogenous factor. As the last set of picks went, I realized that sometimes my so-called "Long Term" trades yield more than the "Short Term". In order to extract which factors truly make wise trades, I have made the following list. Each one originated by a Stock Screen weighted in it's own category.
Sector:
LFL 75.25
FCN 33.09
TALX 35.95
CEN 34.25
NHP 34.26
PKY 56.53
TCO 62.63
SPAR 22.97
CTB 16.56
CG 72.93
AGU 38.77
MOS 25.23
Trendy:
SABA 7.62
TRIB 9.88
ICGE 11.77
EXFO 7.28
NXST 7.50
CRAY 13.61
IBAS 9.96
ISPH 7.83
CHR 7.58
MPP 10.70
MPWR 13.71
RAMR 16.03
SPIR 9.32
Oscillating:
QCOM 42.51
SIAL 41.62
ORLY 34.66
SGMS 34.14
LNDC 13.40
ACLS 7.64
HON 47.83
LDG 46.52
CPF 39.96
NWL 31.51
LUK 28.50
HBI 26.78
CHR 7.58
Volume:
BOBE 36.64
TLEO 15.13
DMRC 12.20
SHG 122.01
BAM 54.40
TIN 53.16
GR 50.85
ADP 50.96
AET 45.61
NWL 31.51
TRW 29.26
JNS 22.30
BKC 22.61
After a couple of weeks or months, we will gauge the median returns. If the returns are substantial enough, I might even send out a newsletter. At first, it would be free. -It does take a bit of time to distill and filter these down. Let's call them Adam's Lucky 13 (on Sector, Trendy, Oscillating, Volume).
And as always, if you make some money off of these picks... please contribute to the HookShow Podcast.
Labels: "stock picks", equities, investing, money, portfolio, profit, stocks
posted by asciiadam
5 Comments:
Weekly Performance:
Sector Results:
median return -.08%
Trending Results:
median return 2.42%
Oscillating Results:
median return 2.087%
Volume Results:
median return 1.277%
BiWeekly Performance:
Sector Results:
median return -5.28%
Trendy Results:
median return -1.02%
Oscillating Results:
median return -1.7%
Volume Results:
median return -3.71%
Of all Portfolios...
Best Stock return:
SPIR (Trendy) 9.78%
Worst Stock loss:
ISPH (Trendy) -17.88%
If this study taught me anything... The greatest profits are made by those with strong trend in the short term.
Frankly with the US equities at such high multiples, this is an ideal time to look at currencies.
Currency Pick:
AUDCAD at .915 180 pip upside move to .923
USDCHF at 1.221 160 pip downside move to 1.205
Monthly Performance:
Sector Results:
median return -3.53%
Trending Results:
median return -4.19%
Oscillating Results:
median return -1.38%
Volume Results:
median return -3.31%
Of all the Portfolios...
Best stock return:
TRW (Volume) 12.21%
Worst stock loss:
ISPH (Trendy) -20.69
BTW, it would be a good idea to cover any position that you may have in the AUDCAD & USDCHF being that there is a very significant Histogram bearish divergence on both.
Currency performance did exactly as I hoped.
As I type this:
AUDCAD .9337 187 pips
USDCHF 1.2074 136 pips
total: 323 pips
1.5 Monthly Performance:
Sector Results:
median return 4.6%
Trending Results:
median return 5.15%
Oscillating Results:
median return 4.27%
Volume Results:
median return 2.57%
Of all Portfolios...
Best Stock Return:
NXST (Trendy) 37.18%
Worst Stock Loss:
DMRC (Volume) -18.28%
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